EPL: Manchester United vs Wolverhampton Wolves

We’ve got an intriguing matchup this upcoming Monday as Wolverhampton and Manchester United clash at Molineaux. Some appealing side value in this matchup from our perspective.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Odds

Team to Win (Regular Time)

Wolverhampton Wanderers: 3.34
Draw: 3.36
Manchester United: 2.31

Spread
Wolverhampton Wanderers +0.5: 1.72
Manchester United -0.5: 2.21

Total
Over 2.5: 2.17
Under 2.5: 1.75

What to Watch For

Betting on the Draw: Odds indicate there’s a about a 30 percent chance this weekend’s match ends in a draw. That happens in 27.5 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting no added value on the pick.

The projected score is 1.44 – 1.37, in favor of Manchester United.

Last Time Out: The Wolves kicked off the 2019-2020 season with a road draw vs Leicester. Man U put together a convincing 4-0 win over Chelsea at home.

Efficiency: Manchester United had possession just 46% of the time in their 4-0 win last week. One of the more efficient performances of late as they created 11 shots with limited possession. The Wolves, on the other hand, had just 30% of the possession in their draw, with a pass accuracy rate of less than 70%.

Head to Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on April 2, 2019 when the Wolves won, 2-1.

Projected Leaders

Marcus Rashford has close to a 32 percent chance to score for Manchester United. Rashford averages 2.01 shots overall per sim, 0.94 shots on goal per and 0.38 goals per sim.

Raúl Jiménez also has close to a 32 percent chance to score for his side. Jiménez averages 3.26 shots overall per sim, 1.2 shots on goal per and 0.38 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Wolverhampton Wanderers +0.5

Odds indicate there’s a 58 percent chance Wolverhampton either draw, or win. That happens in 61.5 percent of simulations. The added value in simulations is on Wolverhampton to be more competitive than odds-makers are suggesting.