Liverpool vs. Aston Villa: EPL Game Preview

 

Liverpool wants to keep rolling in the Premier League when they host Aston Villa on Saturday. Liverpool is coming off a 1-0 road win against Wolverhampton Wanderers last Saturday while Aston Villa beat Leicester City 2-1 at home last Sunday. Liverpool is in second place in the Premier League with 34 points in 15 games while Aston Villa is in 10th place with 19 points in 15 games.

The player to watch in this game is Mohamed Salah. Former Liverpool winger Luis Garcia recently backed Salah to improve his goalscoring record at Liverpool further this season: “He is becoming more and more important. He knows where he has to be. I think we can see a different Salah at the moment.” Salah has been on fire, with 13 goals and nine assists in 15 Premier League games this season and he can be a difference-maker on Sunday. Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

DafaNews Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Liverpool: 1.27
• Aston Villa: 9.80
• Draw: 6.40

Spread
• Liverpool: -1.5, -2 (1.93)
• Aston Villa: +1.5, +2 (2.00)

Total
• Over 3, 3.5 (1.87)
• Under 3, 3.5 (2.03)

Key Points to Consider

Last 5: Liverpool, coming off a 1-0 road win against Wolverhampton Wanderers last Saturday, have 4 wins, 1 loss and 0 draws in their last 5 Premier League games. Aston Villa, coming off a 2-1 home win against Leicester City last Sunday, have 3 wins, 2 losses and 0 draws in their last 5 Premier League games.

Momentum: Liverpool has been on an upward trend — with 4 straight wins in the Premier League.

Head-to-Head: These two teams last met in Premier League action on April 10 and Liverpool won 2-1.

Projected Leaders

For Liverpool, Mohamed Salah has a 63.86 percent chance to score. He averages 3.27 shots overall per sim, 2.16 shots on goal per and 1.01 goals per sim.

For Aston Villa, Ollie Watkins has a 19.22 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.12 shots overall per sim, 0.69 shots on goal per and 0.21 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Liverpool Moneyline.

Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Liverpool in this one. Average score in simulations is Liverpool 3.07 to Aston Villa 0.73.