Liverpool will face a tough test in their quest to win the Premier League when they host Tottenham Hotspur on Saturday. Liverpool is coming off a 1-0 road win against Newcastle United on April 30 while Tottenham Hotspur, coming off a 3-1 home win against Leicester City on May 1. Liverpool is in second place in the Premier League standings with 82 points in 34 games while Tottenham Hotspur is in fourth place with 61 points in 34 games.
The player to watch in this game is Diogo Jota, who has 15 goals and three assists in 31 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Jota a 45.44 percent chance to score against Tottenham Hotspur. He has 78 SCA and 12 GCA in 31 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Liverpool: 1.41
• Tottenham Hotspur: 7.00
• Draw: 5.00
Spread
• Liverpool: -1, -1.5 (1.85)
• Tottenham Hotspur: +1, +1.5 (1.96)
Total
• Over 3 (1.85)
• Under 3 (1.96)
Key Points to Consider
Last 5: Liverpool, coming off a 1-0 road win against Newcastle United on April 30, have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 5 Premier League games.
Tottenham Hotspur, coming off a 3-1 home win against Leicester City on May 1, have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 5 Premier League games.
Momentum: Liverpool has been on an upward trend — with three straight wins in the Premier League.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on December 19, 2021 and the game ended in a 2-2 draw.
Projected Leaders
For Liverpool, Diogo Jota has a 45.44 percent chance to score. He averages 2.21 shots overall per sim, 1.14 shots on goal per and 0.6 goals per sim.
For Tottenham Hotspur, Son Heung-Min has a 27.9 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.15 shots overall per sim, 0.77 shots on goal per and 0.32 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Liverpool Moneyline.
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Liverpool in this one. Average score in simulations is Liverpool 1.9 to Tottenham Hotspur 0.86.
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