Atletico Madrid hosts FC Barcelona in what promises to be an entertaining La Liga game on Sunday.
Atletico Madrid is coming off a 2-0 home win against Elche on December 29, while FC Barcelona had a 1-1 home draw against Espanyol on Saturday.
FC Barcelona leads the La Liga standings with 38 points in 15 games, while Atletico Madrid is in fourth place with 27 points in 15 games.
The player to watch in this game is Robert Lewandowski, who has 13 goals and four assists in 15 La Liga games this season. AccuScore gives Robert Lewandowski a 58.64 percent chance to score against Atletico Madrid. He has 45 SCA and 8 GCA in 15 La Liga games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Atletico Madrid 3.10
• FC Barcelona 2.31
• Draw: 3.40
Spread
• Atletico Madrid 0, +0.5 (1.94)
• FC Barcelona 0, -0.5 (1.99)
Total
• Over 2.5 (1.89)
• Under 2.5 (2.01)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in La Liga action on February 6 and FC Barcelona won 4-2.
Projected Leaders
For Atletico Madrid, Álvaro Morata has a 24.38 percent chance to score. He averages 1.45 shots overall per sim, 0.88 shots on goal per and 0.28 goals per sim.
For FC Barcelona, Robert Lewandowski has a 58.64 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.42 shots overall per sim, 1.49 shots on goal per and 0.87 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
FC Barcelona 2.31
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on FC Barcelona in this one. Average score in simulations is FC Barcelona 1.9 to Atletico Madrid 1.15.
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