Football

Manchester City vs. Brentford: EPL Game Preview

 
Manchester City hosts Brentford in what should be a very entertaining Premier League game on Saturday. Manchester City is coming off a 2-1 home win against Fulham on Saturday while Brentford had a 2-2 road draw against Nottingham Forest last Saturday.

Manchester City is in second place in the Premier League standings with 32 points in 13 games while Brentford is in 10th place with 16 points in 14 games.

The player to watch in this game is Kevin De Bruyne, who has three goals and nine assists in 13 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives De Bruyne a 40.28 percent chance to score against Brentford. He has 77 SCA and 16 GCA in 13 Premier League games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

DafaNews Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Manchester City 1.16
• Brentford 15.00
• Draw 8.40

Spread
• Manchester City -2, -2.5 (1.89)
• Brentford +2, +2.5 (1.92)

Total
• Over 3.5, 4 (1.99)
• Under 3.5, 4 (1.83)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on February 9 and Manchester City won 2-0.

Projected Leaders

For Manchester City, Kevin De Bruyne has a 40.28 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.4 shots overall per sim, 1.3 shots on goal per and 0.53 goals per sim.

For Brentford, Yoane Wissa has an 11.54 percent chance to score. He averages 0.51 shots overall per sim, 0.22 shots on goal per and 0.12 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Under 3.5, 4 (1.83)

Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Manchester City 2.1 to Brentford 0.7.
 

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