Manchester City vs. Newcastle United: EPL Game Preview

Manchester City hosts Newcastle United in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League game on Saturday. Manchester City is coming off a 4-1 road win against AFC Bournemouth on Saturday while Newcastle United lost 2-0 at home against Liverpool on February 18.

Manchester City is in second place in the Premier League standings with 55 points in 25 games while Newcastle United is in fifth place with 41 points in 23 games.

The player to watch in this game is Erling Haaland, who has 27 goals and four assists in 24 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Erling Haaland a 57.78 percent chance to score against Newcastle United. He has 46 SCA and 10 GCA in 24 Premier League games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

DafaNews Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Manchester City 1.46
• Newcastle United 6.60
• Draw: 4.70

Spread
• Manchester City -1, -1.5 (1.97)
• Newcastle United +1, +1.5 (1.84)

Total
• Over 2.5, 3 (1.81)
• Under 2.5, 3 (2.01)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on August 21 and the game ended in a 3-3 draw.

Projected Leaders

For Manchester City, Erling Haaland has a 57.78 percent chance to score. He averages 2.65 shots overall per sim, 1.62 shots on goal per and 0.87 goals per sim.

For Newcastle United, Miguel Almirón has a 19.32 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.61 shots overall per sim, 0.31 shots on goal per and 0.22 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Manchester City 1.46

Two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Manchester City 2.02 to Newcastle United 0.93.