The Bundesliga continues this weekend! The games are being played behind closed doors because of the COVID-19 pandemic and now we will have a very intriguing clash on Friday, when SC Freiburg hosts Bayer Leverkusen.
SC Freiburg is in seventh place with 38 points while Bayer Leverkusen is fifth in the standings with 53 points, fighting to qualify to the UEFA Champions League next season. SC Freiburg is coming off a hard-fought 3-3 road draw against Eintracht Frankfurt on Tuesday while Bayer Leverkusen suffered a devastating 4-1 home loss against Wolfsburg. Can Bayer Leverkusen get back on track? Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• SC Freiburg: 4.69
• Bayer Leverkusen: 1.74
• Draw: 4.11
Spread
• SC Freiburg: +0.5, +1 (1.98)
• Bayer Leverkusen: -0.5, -1 (1.95)
Total
• Over 3 (1.99)
• Under 3 (1.91)
Key Points to Consider
Last 6: SC Freiburg, coming off a 3-3 road draw vs Eintracht Frankfurt, have 3 losses, 2 draws and 1 win in their last 6 overall. Bayer Leverkusen, coming off a 4-1 home loss vs Wolfsburg, have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 overall.
Momentum: SC Freiburg has been on a downward trend — going winless in their last 3 games in the Bundesliga.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Bundesliga action on Nov. 23, 2019 and the game ended on a 1-1 draw.
Projected Leaders
For SC Freiburg, Gian-Luca Waldschmidt has a 29.18 percent chance to score. He averages 1.89 shots overall per sim, 0.64 shots on goal per and 0.35 goals per sim.
For Bayer Leverkusen, Kai Havertz has a 44.88 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.4 shots overall per sim, 1.17 shots on goal per and 0.6 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
SC Freiburg +1.
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on SC Freiburg in this one. Average score in simulations is Bayer Leverkusen 1.83 to SC Freiburg 1.27.
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