Tottenham Hotspur vs. Aston Villa: EPL Game Preview

Tottenham Hotspur hosts Aston Villa in what promises to be an entertaining game on Sunday. Tottenham Hotspur is coming off a 2-2 road draw against Brentford on Monday, while Aston Villa lost 3-1 against Liverpool at home last Monday.

Tottenham Hotspur is in fourth place in the Premier League standings with 30 points in 16 games while Aston Villa is in 12th place with 18 points in 16 games.

The player to watch in this game is Harry Kane, who has 13 goals and one assist in 16 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Kane a 62.32 percent chance to score against Aston Villa. He has 57 SCA and 5 GCA in 16 Premier League games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

DafaNews Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Tottenham Hotspur 1.68
• Aston Villa 4.80
• Draw: 4.00

Spread
• Tottenham Hotspur -0.5, -1 (1.85)
• Aston Villa +0.5, +1 (1.97)

Total
• Over 2.5, 3 (1.96)
• Under 2.5, 3 (1.85)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on April 9 and Tottenham Hotspur won 4-0.

Projected Leaders

For Tottenham Hotspur, Harry Kane has a 62.32 percent chance to score. He averages 3.17 shots overall per sim, 2.03 shots on goal per and 0.98 goals per sim.

For Aston Villa, Ollie Watkins has a 19.02 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.13 shots overall per sim, 0.72 shots on goal per and 0.21 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Over 2.5, 3 (1.96)

Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Tottenham Hotspur 2.54 to Aston Villa 0.68.