Toulouse vs. Lille: Ligue 1 Game Preview

Toulouse clashes with Lille in what promises to be a very entertaining Ligue 1 game on Saturday. Toulouse is coming off a 2-0 road win against Angers on Sunday while Lille had a 3-3 home draw against Lyon on March 10.

Lille is in sixth place in the Ligue 1 standings with 46 points in 27 games while Toulouse is in 11th place with 35 points in 27 games.

The player to watch in this game is Jonathan David, who has 19 goals and four assists in 26 Ligue 1 games this season. AccuScore gives Jonathan David a 57.42 percent chance to score against Toulouse. He has 74 SCA and 11 GCA in 26 Ligue 1 games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

DafaNews Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Toulouse 3.55
• Lille 2.00
• Draw 3.75

Spread
• Toulouse +0.5 (1.84)
• Lille -0.5 (1.97)

Total
• Over 2.5, 3 (1.85)
• Under 2.5, 3 (1.97)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Ligue 1 action on October 16 and Toulouse won 3-2.

Projected Leaders

For Toulouse, Thijs Dallinga has a 33.6 percent chance to score. He averages 1.37 shots overall per sim, 0.97 shots on goal per and 0.4 goals per sim.

For Lille, Jonathan David has a 57.42 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.96 shots overall per sim, 1.66 shots on goal per and 0.85 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Lille 2.00

Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Lille in this one. Average score in simulations is Lille 2.07 to Toulouse 1.54.