Argentina looks to get back on track when they collide with Mexico in 2022 FIFA World Cup Group C action on Saturday.
Saudi Arabia stunned Argentina with a come-from-behind 2-1 upset on Tuesday. Argentina took the lead with a Lionel Messi penalty kick but Saudi Arabia played with no fear and pressured Argentina all across the field in a legendary display.
Guillermo Ochoa saved a Robert Lewandowski penalty kick in Mexico’s 0-0 draw against Poland on Tuesday. Both teams had their chances and it felt like a fair result.
The player to watch in this game is Lautaro Martínez, who has seven goals and three assists in 15 Serie A games with Inter Milan this season. AccuScore gives Lautaro Martínez a 40.2 percent chance to score against Mexico. He has 41 SCA and 8 GCA in 15 Serie A games with Inter Milan.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Argentina 1.59
• Mexico 6.40
• Draw 4.10
Spread
• Argentina -1 (1.92)
• Mexico +1 (2.00)
Total
• Over 2, 2.5 (1.89)
• Under 2, 2.5 (2.01)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two teams last met in an international friendly on September 10, 2019 and Argentina won 4-0.
Projected Leaders
For Argentina, Lautaro Martínez has a 40.2 percent chance to score. He averages 2.59 shots overall per sim, 1.31 shots on goal per and 0.51 goals per sim.
For Mexico, Henry Martín has a 32.7 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.98 shots overall per sim, 0.53 shots on goal per and 0.39 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Argentina will come out desperate to win and make a statement and they’ll make the necessary adjustments to make sure that want happened against Saudi Arabia won’t happen again. Mexico has some decent players but Argentina will be too much for them.
Argentina -1 (1.92)
Two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Argentina in this one. Average score in simulations is Argentina 1.77 to Mexico 0.95.
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