Arsenal vs. Burnley: EPL Game Preview

Arsenal hosts Burnley in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League game on Saturday. Arsenal is coming off a 1-0 road loss against Newcastle United on Saturday while Burnley lost 2-0 at home against Crystal Palace on Saturday.

Burnley is in 19th place in the Premier League standings with four points in 11 games while Arsenal is in fourth place with 24 points in 11 games.

The player to watch in this game is Bukayo Saka, who has four goals and three assists in 10 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Bukayo Saka a 41.44 percent chance to score against Burnley. He has 46 SCA and 6 GCA in 10 Premier League games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

DafaNews Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Arsenal 1.20
• Burnley 13.00
• Draw 7.00

Spread
• Arsenal -2 (1.90)
• Burnley +2 (1.83)

Total
• Over 3, 3.5 (1.92)
• Under 3, 3.5 (1.83)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on January 23, 2022 and the game ended in a 0-0 draw.

Projected Leaders

For Arsenal, Bukayo Saka has a 41.44 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.12 shots overall per sim, 1.23 shots on goal per and 0.53 goals per sim.

For Burnley, Anas Zaroury has a 16.46 percent chance to score. He averages 1.09 shots overall per sim, 0.44 shots on goal per and 0.18 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Arsenal 1.20

Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Arsenal in this one. Average score in simulations is Arsenal 1.97 to Burnley 0.68.