Arsenal vs. Manchester City: EPL Game Preview

Arsenal hosts Manchester City in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League game on Saturday. Arsenal is coming off a 4-0 road win against AFC Bournemouth on Saturday while Manchester City lost 2-1 on the road against Wolverhampton Wanderers on Saturday.

Manchester City leads the Premier League standings with 18 points in seven games while Arsenal is in third place with 17 points in seven games.

The player to watch in this game is Erling Haaland, who has eight goals and one assist in seven Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Erling Haaland a 74.22 percent chance to score against Arsenal. He has 14 SCA and 2 GCA in seven Premier League games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

DafaNews Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Arsenal 2.90
• Manchester City 2.40
• Draw 3.50

Spread
• Arsenal 0, +0.5 (1.78)
• Manchester City 0, -0.5 (1.98)

Total
• Over 2.5, 3 (1.87)
• Under 2.5, 3 (1.85)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on April 26 and Manchester City won 4-1.

Projected Leaders

For Arsenal, Bukayo Saka has a 30.32 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.61 shots overall per sim, 1.3 shots on goal per and 0.34 goals per sim.

For Manchester City, Erling Haaland has a 74.22 percent chance to score. He averages 3.89 shots overall per sim, 2.09 shots on goal per and 1.37 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Manchester City 2.40

Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Manchester City in this one. Average score in simulations is Manchester City 2.03 to Arsenal 1.59.