This weekend’s Premier League action kicks off Friday night at Villa Park as Everton visit Aston Villa following a 1-0 home win last week vs Watford. Villa continue to look for their first win of the season following back-to-back losses vs Tottenham and Bournemouth, respectively.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Odds
Team to Win (Regular Time)
Aston Villa: 3.28
Draw: 3.68
Everton FC: 2.21
Spread
Aston Villa +0.5: 1.74
Everton -0.5: 2.23
Total
Over 2.5: 1.76
Under 2.5: 2.16
What to Watch For
Betting on the Draw: Odds indicate there’s a about a 27 percent chance this weekend’s match ends in a draw. That happens in under 25 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting no added value on the pick.
The projected score is 1.96 – 1.07, in favor of Everton.
Last 6: Going back to summer action, Villa have 4 losses and 2 wins in their last six overall. They have opened this Premier League season with a 3-1 road loss vs Tottenham, and a 2-1 home loss vs Bournemouth. Everton have 3 wins and 3 draws in their last 6 overall. They opened the season on the road with a scoreless fraw vs Crystal Palae, followed by a 1-0 home win vs Watford last week.
More Talent: Simply put, Everton has more talent on both sides of the ball. Even if they struggle at times on offense, they should be able to get the win with a solid defensive unit. They finished last season with 8 clean slates in their final 11 games.
Head to Head: These two sides last met in Premier League action back in March of 2016. Everton won 3-1. The last time Aston Villa defeated Everton in Premier League was back in May of 2015.
Projected Leaders
Richarlison has a 40-to-41 percent chance to score this Friday. He averages 3.15 shots overall, 0.86 shots on goal per and 0.52 goals per sim.
John McGinn has a 20.5 percent chance to net the ball for Vila. He averages 2.27 shots overall per sim, 0.78 shots on goal per and 0.23 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Everton -0.5
Odds indicate there’s a 45 chance Everton wins this match. Sim data has that probably up to 56 percent. Everton winning outright is a three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick. The added side value makes it a four-star pick.
Lewis Hamilton has claimed his first Formula 1 victory for Ferrari after winning the Spanish… Read More
The New York Knicks are NBA champions once again, ending a 53-year wait for basketball’s… Read More
Alexander Isak announced himself on the World Cup stage with a superb goal and two… Read More
Germany launched their FIFA World Cup 2026 campaign in emphatic fashion with a dominant 7-1… Read More
Roberto Mancini has dramatically resigned as head coach of Al Sadd, sparking instant speculation that… Read More
Spain will kick off their FIFA World Cup 2026 campaign on June 15 as one… Read More