EPL Match Preview: Burnley vs Watford

In what might be one of the more competitive matches this weekend, we’ll turn our attention to Vicarage Road as Watford and Burnley match up. Both sides enter this one following a win their last time out.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Odds

Team to Win (Regular Time)

•Watford FC: 2.33

•Draw: 3.36

•Burnley FC: 3.31

Spread

•Watford FC -0.5: 2.26

•Burnley FC +0.5: 1.67

Total

•Over 2.5: 2.09

•Under 2.5: 1.81

Key Points to Consider

Last 6: Watford, coming off a 2-0 road win vs Norwich, has 1 win, 2 losses and 3 draws in their last six overall. Burnley, coming off a 3-0 home win vs West Ham, have 2 wins, 3 losses, and 1 draw in their last six.

Some Numbers: Burnley are No. 4 in the league with 4 clean sheets. They are No. 5 in the league in 52 blocks, continuing to use their defense to remain competitive most weeks.

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on Jan. 19, 2019 when they finished in a scoreless draw.

Projected Leaders

Ashley Barnes has a 30-to-31 percent chance to score for Burnley this weekend. Barnes averages 1.97 shots overall per sim, 0.72 shots on goal per and 0.36 goals per sim.

For Watford, Gerard Deulofeu has a 28 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.52 shots overall per sim, 1.04 shots on goal, 0.33 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Burnley +0.5

Whereas odds-makers have Burnley as slight favorites, they actually win more sims than do Watford. Average score in sims is 1.16 – 1.12, in favor of Burnley.

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