EPL Match Preview: Everton vs Arsenal

We’ve got a fun one at Goodison Park this Saturday as Everton and Arsenal match up. Both sides will be looking to get back on the win column.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Odds

Team to Win (Regular Time)

•Everton FC: 2.37
•Draw: 3.77
•Arsenal FC: 2.92

Spread
•Everton FC -0.5: 2.38
•Arsenal FC +0.5: 1.65

Total

•Over 3: 1.94
•Under 3: 1.96

Key Points to Consider

Last 6: Everton, coming off a 1-1 draw vs Manchester United, have 1 draw, 2 wins and 3 losses in their last six overall. Arsenal, coming off an 0-3 loss vs Manchester City, has 3 losses, 2 draws and 1 win in their last six overall.

Formation: Everton recently switched to a 4-4-2 formation and it has added some stability to the starting unit. We’re expecting a similar lineup this weekend.

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up on April 7, 2019 when Everton won, 1-0.

Projected Leaders

Aubameyang has a 50 percent chance to score for Arsenal. He averages 2.22 shots overall per sim, 0.88 shots on goal per and 0.69 goals per sim.

Richarlison has a 38-to-39 percent to score for Everton. He averages 3.22 shots overall per sim, 1.2 shots on goal per and 0.48 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Arsenal +0.5.

Simulation data projects the matchup to be a bit closer than odds-makers are indicating. Everton’s average margin of victory is just +0.03 points. Good value on Arsenal +0.5 since there’s a good chance of a win or a draw for them.

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