Lens vs. Lille: Ligue 1 Game Preview

Lens clashes with Lille in what promises to be a very entertaining Ligue 1 game on Saturday. Lens is coming off a 1-1 road draw against Montpellier on Saturday while Lille beat Brest 2-1 at home on Friday.

Lens is in fourth place in the Ligue 1 standings with 50 points in 24 games while Lille is in fifth place with 44 points in 25 games.

The player to watch in this game is Jonathan David, who has 15 goals and four assists in 24 Ligue 1 games this season. AccuScore gives Jonathan David a 28.02 percent chance to score against Lens. He has 72 SCA and 11 GCA in 24 Ligue 1 games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

DafaNews Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Lens 2.25
• Lille 3.20
• Draw 3.40

Spread
• Lens 0, -0.5 (1.92)
• Lille 0, +0.5 (1.89)

Total
• Over 2.5 (1.99)
• Under 2.5 (1.83)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Ligue 1 action on October 9 and Lille won 1-0.

Projected Leaders

For Lens, Florian Sotoca has a 26.26 percent chance to score. He averages 2.78 shots overall per sim, 1.31 shots on goal per and 0.3 goals per sim.

For Lille, Jonathan David has a 28.02 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.63 shots overall per sim, 0.92 shots on goal per and 0.33 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick
Lens 2.25

Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Lens in this one. Average score in simulations is Lens 1.02 to Lille 0.9.