Mainz vs. TSG Hoffenheim: Bundesliga Game Preview

Mainz clashes with TSG Hoffenheim in what promises to be a very entertaining Bundesliga game on Saturday. Mainz is coming off a 4-0 home win against Borussia Monchengladbach on Friday while TSG Hoffenheim lost 1-0 at home against Borussia Dortmund on Saturday.

Mainz is in eighth place in the Bundesliga standings with 32 points in 22 games while TSG Hoffenheim is in 16th place with 19 points in 22 games.

The player to watch in this game is Marcus Ingvartsen, who has eight goals and zero assists in 16 Bundesliga games this season. AccuScore gives Marcus Ingvartsen a 39.38 percent chance to score against TSG Hoffenheim. He has 12 SCA and 3 GCA in 16 Bundesliga games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

DafaNews Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Mainz 2.09
• TSG Hoffenheim 3.40
• Draw 3.60

Spread
• Mainz 0, -0.5 (1.81)
• TSG Hoffenheim 0, +0.5 (2.01)

Total
• Over 2.5, 3 (1.89)
• Under 2.5, 3 (1.92)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Bundesliga action on September 10 and TSG Hoffenheim won 4-1.

Projected Leaders

For Mainz, Marcus Ingvartsen has a 39.38 percent chance to score. He averages 1.09 shots overall per sim, 0.63 shots on goal per and 0.49 goals per sim.

For TSG Hoffenheim, Ihlas Bebou has a 19.96 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.71 shots overall per sim, 0.39 shots on goal per and 0.22 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Mainz 2.09

Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Mainz in this one. Average score in simulations is Mainz 1.72 to TSG Hoffenheim 0.81.