Manchester City battles Aston Villa in what should be a very entertaining Premier League game on Sunday. Manchester City is coming off a 2-2 road draw against West Ham United on May 15 while Aston Villa had a 1-1 draw against Crystal Palace at home on May 15. Manchester City leads the Premier League with 90 points in 37 games while Aston Villa is in 12th place with 44 points in 36 games.
The player to watch in this game is Riyad Mahrez, who has 11 goals and five assists in 27 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Mahrez a 40.96 percent chance to score against Aston Villa. He has 61 SCA and 7 GCA in 27 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Manchester City: 1.19
• Aston Villa: 14.00
• Draw: 7.20
Spread
• Manchester City: -2 (1.89)
• Aston Villa: +2 (2.01)
Total
• Over 3.5 (2.14)
• Under 3.5 (1.75)
Key Points to Consider
Last 5: Manchester City, coming off a 2-2 road draw against West Ham United on May 15, have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 5 Premier League games.
Aston Villa, coming off a 1-1 home draw against Crystal Palace on May 15, have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 Premier League games.
Momentum: Manchester City has been on an upward trend — with 4 wins in their last 5 Premier League games.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on December 1, 2021 and Manchester City won 2-1.
Projected Leaders
For Manchester City, Riyad Mahrez has a 40.96 percent chance to score. He averages 1.8 shots overall per sim, 0.95 shots on goal per and 0.52 goals per sim.
For Aston Villa, Ollie Watkins has an 18.54 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.96 shots overall per sim, 0.6 shots on goal per and 0.2 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Manchester City Moneyline.
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Manchester City 2.52 to Aston Villa 0.75.
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