Newcastle United hosts a reeling Everton team in an intriguing game with Premier League relegation implications. Newcastle United is coming off a 1-0 road win against Leeds United on January 22 while Everton lost 1-0 on the road against Aston Villa on January 22. Newcastle United is in 18th place in the Premier League standings with 15 points in 21 games while Everton is in 16th place with 19 points in 20 games. Everton has lost three straight Premier League games.
The player to watch in this game is Dominic Calvert-Lewin, who has three goals and zero assists in six Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Calvert-Lewin a has a 52.08 percent chance to score against Newcastle United. He has 13 SCA and 2 GCA in six Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup. .
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Newcastle United: 2.60
• Everton: 2.75
• Draw: 3.35
Spread
• Newcastle United: 0: 1.85
• Everton: 0: 1.96
Total
• Over 2.5: 1.93
• Under 2.5: 1.88
Key Points to Consider
Last 5: Newcastle United, coming off a 1-0 road win against Leeds United on January 22, have 2 losses, 2 draws and 1 win in their last 5 Premier League games. Everton, coming off 1-0 road loss against Aston Villa on January 22, have 4 losses, 1 draw and 0 wins in their last 5 Premier League games.
Momentum: Everton has been on a downward trend — with 3 losses in their last 3 Premier League games.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on January 30, 2021 and Newcastle United won 2-0.
Projected Leaders
For Newcastle United, Chris Wood has a 31.68 percent chance to score. He averages 1.77 shots overall per sim, 1.04 shots on goal per and 0.37 goals per sim.
For Everton, Dominic Calvert-Lewin has a 52.08 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.38 shots overall per sim, 1.48 shots on goal per and 0.74 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
The Over.
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the Over in this one. Average score in simulations is Everton 1.9 to Newcastle United 1.47.
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