Nottingham Forest vs. Leeds United: EPL Game Preview

Nottingham Forest hosts Leeds United in what should be a very entertaining Premier League game next Sunday. Nottingham Forest is coming off a 1-1 road draw AFC Bournemouth on January 21 while Leeds United had a 0-0 home draw against Brentford on January 21.

Nottingham Forest is in 13th place in the Premier League standings with 21 points in 20 games while Leeds United is in 15th place with 18 points in 19 games.

The player to watch in this game is Rodrigo, who has 10 goals and one assist in 18 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Rodrigo Moreno a 47.2 percent chance to score against Nottingham Forest. He has 30 SCA and 2 GCA in 18 Premier League games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

DafaNews Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Nottingham Forest 2.65
• Leeds United 2.70
• Draw 3.40

Spread
• Nottingham Forest 0 (1.89)
• Leeds United 0 (1.92)

Total
• Over 2.5 (1.88)
• Under 2.5 (1.93)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: These two sides have never matched up in Premier League action.

Projected Leaders

For Nottingham Forest, Brennan Johnson has a 28.3 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.57 shots overall per sim, 0.88 shots on goal per and 0.33 goals per sim.

For Leeds United, Rodrigo has a 47.2 percent chance to score. He averages 2 shots overall per sim, 1.09 shots on goal per and 0.64 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Under 2.5 (1.93)

Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Leeds United 1.32 to Nottingham Forest 1.16.