Southampton hosts Brighton & Hove Albion in what should be a very entertaining Premier League game on December 26. Southampton is coming off a 3-1 road loss against Liverpool on November 12 while Brighton & Hove Albion lost 2-1 at home against Aston Villa on November 13.
Southampton is in 19th place in the Premier League standings with 12 points in 15 games while Brighton & Hove Albion is in seventh place with 21 points in 14 games.
The player to watch in this game is Che Adams, who has four goals and one assist in 14 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Che Adams a 25.74 percent chance to score against Brighton & Hove Albion. He has 28 SCA and 1 GCA in 14 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Southampton 3.45
• Brighton & Hove Albion 2.10
• Draw: 3.50
Spread
• Southampton 0, +0.5 (2.02)
• Brighton & Hove Albion 0, -0.5 (1.81)
Total
• Over 2.5 (1.90)
• Under 2.5 (1.91)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on April 24 and the game ended in a 2-2 draw.
Projected Leaders
For Southampton, Che Adams has a 25.74 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.44 shots overall per sim, 0.79 shots on goal per and 0.3 goals per sim.
For Brighton & Hove Albion, Leandro Trossard has a 32.56 percent chance to score. He averages 1.24 shots overall per sim, 0.78 shots on goal per and 0.4 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Over 2.5 (1.90)
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Brighton & Hove Albion 1.52 to Southampton 1.23.
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