Southampton vs. Manchester City: EPL Game Preview

Southampton hosts Manchester City in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League game on Saturday. Southampton is coming off a 1-0 road loss against West Ham United on Sunday while Manchester City beat Liverpool 4-1 at home on Saturday.

Manchester City is in second place in the Premier League standings with 64 points in 28 games while Southampton is in 20th place with 23 points in 29 games.

The player to watch in this game is Riyad Mahrez, who has five goals and five assists in 20 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Riyad Mahrez a 37.22 percent chance to score against Southampton. He has 72 SCA and 12 GCA in 20 Premier League games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

DafaNews Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Southampton 10.00
• Manchester City 1.29
• Draw: 5.80

Spread
• Southampton +1.5 (1.98)
• Manchester City -1.5 (1.83)

Total
• Over 3 (2.01)
• Under 3 (1.81)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on October 8 and Manchester City won 4-0.

Projected Leaders

For Southampton, James Ward-Prowse has a 19.04 percent chance to score. He averages 0.57 shots overall per sim, 0.35 shots on goal per and 0.21 goals per sim.

For Manchester City, Riyad Mahrez has a 37.22 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.27 shots overall per sim, 0.69 shots on goal per and 0.48 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Manchester City 1.29

Two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Manchester City 2.15 to Southampton 0.7.