Watford faces a tough test when they host Liverpool on Saturday. Watford is coming off a 1-0 road loss against Leeds United on October 2 while Liverpool had a 2-2 home draw against Manchester City on October 3.
Liverpool is in second place in the Premier League with 15 points in seven games while Watford is in 15th place with seven points in seven games.
The player to watch in this game is Mohamed Salah. Former Liverpool winger Luis Garcia recently backed Salah to improve his goalscoring record at Liverpool further this season: “He is becoming more and more important. He knows where he has to be. I think we can see a different Salah at the moment.” Salah has been on fire, with five goals in six Premier League games this season and he can be a difference-maker on Saturday. Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Watford: 8.40
• Liverpool: 1.34
• Draw: 5.40
Spread
• Watford: +1.5 (1.95)
• Liverpool: -1.5 (1.98)
Total
• Over 3 (1.95)
• Under 3 (1.95)
Key Points to Consider
Last 5: Watford, coming off a 2-0 road loss against Leeds United on October 2, have 3 losses, 1 win and 1 draw in their last 5 Premier League games. Liverpool, coming off a 2-2 home draw against Manchester City on October 3, have 3 draws, 2 wins and 0 losses in their last 5 Premier League games.
Momentum: Watford has been on a downward trend — with 3 losses in their last 5 Premier League games.
Head-to-Head: These two teams last matched up in Premier League action on February 29, 2020 and Watford won 3-0.
Projected Leaders
For Watford, Ismaila Sarr has a 32.68 percent chance to score. He averages 1.78 shots overall per sim, 1.12 shots on goal per and 0.39 goals per sim.
For Liverpool, Mohamed Salah has a 62.36 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 3.67 shots overall per sim, 2.27 shots on goal per and 0.99 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
The Over.
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Liverpool 2.94 to Watford 0.79.
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