West Ham United vs. Burnley: EPL Game Preview

 
West Ham United hosts Burnley in what promises to be an entertaining game on Saturday. West Ham United is coming off a 2-0 road loss against Brentford on April 10 while Burnley lost 2-0 on the road against Norwich City on April 10. West Ham United is in sixth place in the Premier League standings with 51 points in 32 games while Burnley is in 18th place with 24 points in 30 games.

The player to watch in this game is Michail Antonio, who has eight goals and seven assists in 31 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Antonio a 30.72 percent chance to score against Burnley. He has 93 SCA and 15 GCA in 31 Premier League games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

DafaNews Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• West Ham United: 1.67
• Burnley: 5.20
• Draw: 3.80

Spread
• West Ham United: -0.5, -1: 1.93
• Burnley: +0.5, +1: 2.00

Total
• Over 2.5: 2.03
• Under 2.5: 1.87

Key Points to Consider

Last 5: West Ham United, coming off a 2-0 road loss against Brentford on April 10, have 3 losses, 2 wins and 0 draws in their last 5 Premier League games.

Burnley, coming off a 2-0 road loss against Norwich City on April 10, have 4 losses, 1 win and 0 draws in their last 5 Premier League games.

Momentum: Burnley has been on a downward trend — with 1 win in their last 5 Premier League games.

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on December 12, 2021 and the game ended in a 0-0 draw.

Projected Leaders

For West Ham United, Michail Antonio has a 30.72 percent chance to score. He averages 1.94 shots overall per sim, 0.97 shots on goal per and 0.37 goals per sim.

For Burnley, Wout Weghorst has a 21.56 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.12 shots overall per sim, 0.58 shots on goal per and 0.24 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

The Under.

Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is West Ham United 1.76 to Burnley 0.66.