AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United

Following a scoreless road draw vs Watford last time out, AFC Bournemouth gets set to host Manchester United at Vitality Stadium as the visitors have a mid-week clash vs Chelsea prior to Saturday’s fixture.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Odds

Team to Win (Regular Time)

•Bournemouth: 3.28
•Draw: 3.56
•Manchester United: 2.25

Spread

•Bournemouth +0.5: 1.75
•Manchester United -0.5: 1.96

Total

•Over 2.5: 1.83
•Under 2.5: 2.07

Key Points to Consider

Last 6: Prior to United’s matchup with Chelsea, they have 2 wins, 3 losses and 1 loss overall in their last six. Bournemouth, coming off back-to-back draws, have 3 draws, 2 losses and 1 win.

Defence: Bournemouth are No. 3 in the league with 46 blocks — behind just Burnley and Aston Villa in the category — and No. 4 in the league in total clearances.

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on Dec. 30, 2018 when United won, 4-1. Bournemouth last defeated United in any competition back in Dec. 2015.

Projected Leaders

For Manchester United, Anthony Martial has a 33-to-34 percent chance to score. Martial averages 1.23 shots overall per sim, 0.75 shots on goal per and 0.40 goals per sim.

For Bournemouth, Callum Wilson has close to a 41 percent chance to score. Wilson averages 1.81 shots overall per sim, 1.01 shots on goal per and 0.52 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Bournemouth +0.5

Three-star (out of four) hot trend pick here. All the side/added value in this matchup is on the home underdogs. Average margin of victory in sims is actually Bournemouth +0.07 goals.

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