Sheffield United vs Burnley

A pair of teams look to get back on the win column this weekend as Sheffield United and Burnley match up at Bramall Lane.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Odds

Team to Win (Regular Time)

•Sheffield United: 2.19
•Draw: 3.31
•Burnley FC: 3.68

Spread
•Sheffield United -0.5: 2.17
•Burnley FC +0.5: 1.78

Total
•Over 2.5: 2.38
•Under 2.5: 1.62

Key Points to Consider

Last 6: Sheffield United, coming off a 1-1 road draw vs West Ham, have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last six overall. Burnley, fresh off a 4-2 home loss vs Chelsea, have 2 losses, 2 wins and 2 draws also in their last six overall.

Easy to Defend: No matter how in tune a defense is, defending a well-timed pass is always more difficult than defending someone 1:1, man-to-man. Burnley is last in the league in terms of total passes, suggesting a lot more 1-on-1 attacking as opposed to passing/sharing the ball.

Efficiency: Burnley is No. 14 in the league in shots overall, but No. 8 in the league in goals scored. Efficient.

Head-to-Head: These two sides last met in any competition back in January 2011 (League Championship). Burnley won, 4-2.

Projected Leaders

For Burnley, Jay Rodriguez has a 32-to-33 percent chance to score. Rodriguez averages 1.46 shots overall per sim, 0.66 shots on goal per and 0.40 goals per sim.

For Sheffield United, Callum Robinson has a 27 percent chance to score. Robinson averages 2.11 shots overall per sim, 0.90 shots on goal per and 0.31 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Burnley +0.5

All the side value in this matchup is on Burnley. They win more simulated matchups than do Burnley, the odds-on favorites in most books. We will gladly take the points and hope for a tie at the worst.

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