Borussia Dortmund vs. Mainz: Bundesliga Game Preview

Borussia Dortmund clashes with Mainz in what promises to be a very entertaining Bundesliga game on Saturday. Borussia Dortmund is coming off a 3-0 road win against FC Augsburg on Sunday while Mainz lost 4-1 at home against VfB Stuttgart on Sunday.
Borussia Dortmund leads the Bundesliga standings with 70 points in 33 games while Mainz is in ninth place with 45 points in 33 games.

The player to watch in this game is Sébastien Haller, who has nine goals and three assists in 18 Bundesliga games this season. AccuScore gives Sébastien Haller a 49.04 percent chance to score against Mainz. He has 36 SCA and 8 GCA in 18 Bundesliga games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

DafaNews Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Borussia Dortmund 1.29
• Mainz 8.40
• Draw: 6.60

Spread
• Borussia Dortmund -1.5, -2 (1.87)
• Mainz +1.5, +2 (1.94)

Total
• Over 3.5, 4 (1.84)
• Under 3.5, 4 (1.97)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Bundesliga action on January 25 and Borussia Dortmund won 2-1.

Projected Leaders

For Borussia Dortmund, Sébastien Haller has a 49.04 percent chance to score. He averages 1.75 shots overall per sim, 1.08 shots on goal per and 0.66 goals per sim.

For Mainz, Ludovic Ajorque has a 26.72 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.18 shots overall per sim, 0.68 shots on goal per and 0.31 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Borussia Dortmund 1.51

Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Borussia Dortmund in this one. Average score in simulations is Borussia Dortmund 2.48 to Mainz 1.26.