Chelsea vs. Aston Villa: EPL Game Preview

Chelsea clashes with Aston Villa in what promises to be a very entertaining game on Saturday. Chelsea is coming off a 2-2 home draw against Everton on March 18 while Aston Villa beat Bournemoth 3-0 at home on March 18.

Chelsea is in 10th place in the Premier League standings with 38 points in 27 games while Aston Villa is in 11th place with 38 points in 27 games.

The player to watch in this game is João Félix, who has two goals and zero assists in seven Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives João Félix a 33.2 percent chance to score against Aston Villa. He has 16 SCA and 1 GCA in seven Premier League games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

DafaNews Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Chelsea 1.66
• Aston Villa 5.20
• Draw: 3.90

Spread
• Chelsea -0.5, -1 (1.82)
• Aston Villa +0.5, +1 (2.00)

Total
• Over 2.5 (1.90)
• Under 2.5 (1.91)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on October 16 and Chelsea won 2-0.

Projected Leaders

For Chelsea, João Félix has a 33.2 percent chance to score. He averages 1.8 shots overall per sim, 1.05 shots on goal per and 0.4 goals per sim.

For Aston Villa, Ollie Watkins has a 15.18 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.09 shots overall per sim, 0.75 shots on goal per and 0.17 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Under 2.5 (1.91)

Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Chelsea 1.7 to Aston Villa 0.56.