Chelsea vs. Luton Town: EPL Game Preview

Chelsea and Luton Town clash in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League game on Friday. Chelsea is coming off a 3-1 road loss against West Ham United on Saturday while Luton Town lost 4-1 on the road against Brighton & Hove Albion on August 12.

Chelsea is in 15th place in the Premier League standings with 1 point in two games while Luton Town is in 17th place with 0 points in one game.

The player to watch in this game is Nicolas Jackson, who has 0 goals and 0 assists in two Premier League games last season. AccuScore gives Nicolas Jackson a 58.24 percent chance to score against Luton Town. He has 1 SCA and 0 GCA in two Premier League games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

DafaNews Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Chelsea 1.22
• Luton Town 12.00
• Draw 6.80

Spread
• Chelsea -2 (1.98)
• Luton Town +2 (1.78)

Total
• Over 3, 3.5 (1.98)
• Under 3, 3.5 (1.78)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in FA Cup action on March 2, 2022 and Chelsea won 3-2.

Projected Leaders

For Chelsea, Nicolas Jackson has a 58.24 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.24 shots overall per sim, 1.48 shots on goal per and 0.87 goals per sim.

For Luton Town, Carlton Morris has a 22.08 percent chance to score. He averages 0.82 shots overall per sim, 0.39 shots on goal per and 0.25 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Chelsea 1.22

Two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Chelsea in this one. Average score in simulations is Chelsea 2.1 to Luton Town 0.54.