EPL Match Preview: Bournemouth vs Brighton Hove

Bournemouth head for Amex Stadium this weekend for a matchup with Brighton & Hove.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Odds

Team to Win (Regular Time)
Brighton & Hove: 1.83
Draw: 3.81
Bournemouth: 4.50

Spread
Brighton & Hove -0.5: 1.83
Bournemouth +0.5: 2.11

Total
Over 2.5: 1.96
Under 2.5: 1.94

Key Points to Consider

Last 6: Brighton, coming off a 1-2 road loss vs Tottenham, have 3 losses, 2 draws and 1 win in their last six overall. Bournemouth, coming off a 1-1 home draw vs Arsenal, have 1 draw, 4 losses and 1 win their last six.

Struggling: Only three teams have scored fewer goals than Bournemouth this season. Brighton aren’t a whole lot more prolific on offense, either, with just two more goals this season than Bournemouth.

Head-to-Head: These two sides last met on April 13, 2019 when Bournemouth won, 5-0.

Projected Leaders

For Bournemouth, Callum Wilson has an 18 percent chance to score. He averages 1.32 shots overall per sim, 0.62 shots on goal per and 0.20 goals per sim.

For Brighton & Hove, Neal Maupay has a 37-to-38 percent chance to score. He averages 2.63 shots overall per sim, 1.11 shots on goal per and 0.47 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

The UNDER.

Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick. Average combined score in sims is 1.72 goals.

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