EPL Match Preview: Everton vs Newcastle

Everton get set to kick off a seven-day stretch of three games as they now look to Carlo Ancelotti to lead the way. They’re on the road this Saturday afternoon at St. James’ Park vs Newcastle.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Odds

Team to Win (Regular Time)
Newcastle United: 3.49
Draw: 3.44
Everton FC: 2.21

Spread
Newcastle United +0.5: 1.77
Everton FC -0.5: 2.19

Total
Over 2.5: 2.11
Under 2.5: 1.80

Key Points to Consider

Last 6: Newcastle, coming off a 1-0 home win vs Crystal Palace, have 3 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw in their last six overall. Everton, coming off a 1-0 home win vs Burnley, have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last six overall.

On the Road: Everton is averaging 1 away goal per match this season. Tough to tell on a total set at 2.5 goals but the slight lean on the under here.

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up on March 9, 2019 when Newcastle won, 3-2.

Projected Leaders

For Everton, Richarlison has a 34 percent chance to score. He averages 2.65 shots overall per sim, 0.94 shots on goal per and 0.42 goals per sim.

For Newcastle, Dwight Gayle has a 37 percent chance to score. He averages 1.4 shots overall per sim, 0.63 shots on goal per and 0.46 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Newcastle +0.5

Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Newcastle being more competitive than odds-makers are suggesting. Average score in sims is 1.36 – 1.30, in favor of Everton.

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