Liverpool vs. Chelsea: EPL Game Preview

Liverpool clashes with Chelsea in what promises to be a very entertaining game on Saturday. Chelsea is coming off a 1-0 home win against Crystal Palace on Sunday while Liverpool lost 3-0 on the road against Brighton & Hove Albion on Saturday.

Chelsea is in 10th place in the Premier League standings with 28 points in 19 games while Liverpool is in ninth place with 28 points in 18 games.

The player to watch in this game is Mohamed Salah, who has seven goals and four assists in 18 Premier League game this season. AccuScore gives Mohamed Salah a 51.1 percent chance to score against Chelsea. He has 69 SCA and 8 GCA in 18 Premier League game this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

DafaNews Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Liverpool 1.82
• Chelsea 4.10
• Draw: 3.90

Spread
• Liverpool -0.5, -1 (2.02)
• Chelsea +0.5, +1 (1.80)

Total
• Over 2.5, 3 (1.83)
• Under 2.5, 3 (1.98)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on January 2, 2022 and the game ended in a 2-2 draw.

Projected Leaders

For Liverpool, Mohamed Salah has a 51.1 percent chance to score. He averages 4.35 shots overall per sim, 2.64 shots on goal per and 0.71 goals per sim.

For Chelsea, Mason Mount has an 18.16 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.97 shots overall per sim, 0.49 shots on goal per and 0.2 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Under 2.5, 3 (1.84)

Two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Liverpool 1.38 to Chelsea 0.91.