Liverpool clashes with Leicester City in what should be a very entertaining Premier League game on Thursday. Liverpool is coming off a 3-1 road win against Crystal Palace on January 23 while Leicester City had a 1-1 home draw against Brighton & Hove Albion on January 23. Liverpool is in second place in the Premier League standings with 48 points in 22 games while Leicester City is in 10th place with 26 points in 20 games.
The player to watch in this game is Diogo Jota, who has 10 goals and 1 assist in 21 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Jota a 50.88 percent chance to score against Leicester City. He has 11 SCA and 1 GCA in 21 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Liverpool: 1.28
• Leicester City: 9.20
• Draw: 6.20
Spread
• Liverpool: -1.5, -2 (1.98)
• Leicester City: +1.5, +2 (1.95)
Total
• Over 3.5 (1.96)
• Under 3.5 (1.94)
Key Points to Consider
Last 5: Liverpool, coming off a 3-1 road win against Crystal Palace on January 23, have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 Premier League games. Leicester City, coming off a 1-1 home draw against Brighton & Hove Albion on January 23, have 2 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw in their last 5 Premier League games.
Momentum: Leicester City has been on a downward trend — with 1 win in their last 4 Premier League games.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on December 28, 2021 and Leicester City won 1-0.
Projected Leaders
For Liverpool, Diogo Jota has a 50.88 percent chance to score. He averages 2.48 shots overall per sim, 1.3 shots on goal per and 0.71 goals per sim.
For Leicester City, Patson Daka has a 19.3 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.86 shots overall per sim, 0.48 shots on goal per and 0.21 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
The Over.
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Liverpool 2.22 to Leicester City 1.03.
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