Paris Saint-Germain vs. Lille: Ligue 1 Game Preview

Paris Saint-Germain clashes with Lille in what promises to be a very entertaining Ligue 1 game on Sunday. Paris Saint-Germain is coming off a 3-1 road loss against Monaco on Saturday while Lille beat Strasbourg 2-0 at home on Sunday.

Paris Saint-Germain leads the Ligue 1 standings with 54 points in 23 games while Lille is in fifth place with 41 points in 23 games.

The player to watch in this game is Lionel Messi, who has 10 goals and 10 assists in 18 Ligue 1 games this season. AccuScore gives Lionel Messi a 31.16 percent chance to score against Lille. He has 113 SCA and 22 GCA in 18 Ligue 1 games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

DafaNews Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Paris Saint-Germain 1.65
• Lille 4.90
• Draw 4.10

Spread
• Paris Saint-Germain -0.5, -1 (1.80)
• Lille +0.5, +1 (2.02)

Total
• Over 3 (2.00)
• Under 3 (1.82)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Ligue 1 action on August 21 and Paris Saint-Germain won 7-1.

Projected Leaders

For Paris Saint-Germain, Lionel Messi has a 31.16 percent chance to score. He averages 3.01 shots overall per sim, 1.67 shots on goal per and 0.38 goals per sim.

For Lille, Jonathan David has a 26.28 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.73 shots overall per sim, 0.92 shots on goal per and 0.31 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Paris Saint-Germain 1.65

Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Paris Saint-Germain in this one. Average score in simulations is Paris Saint-Germain 1.43 to Lille 0.75.