Chelsea vs. Southampton: EPL Game Preview

Chelsea clashes with Southampton in what promises to be a very entertaining game on Saturday. Chelsea is coming off a 1-1 road draw against West Ham United on Saturday while Southampton lost 2-1 at home against Wolverhampton Wanderers on Saturday.

Chelsea is in ninth place in the Premier League standings with 31 points in 22 games while Southampton is in last place with 15 points in 22 games.

The player to watch in this game is João Félix, who has one goals and zero assists in two Premier League game this season. AccuScore gives João Félix a 29.32 percent chance to score against Southampton. He has 7 SCA and 0 GCA in two Premier League game this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

DafaNews Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Chelsea 1.42
• Southampton 8.00
• Draw: 4.60

Spread
• Chelsea -1, -1.5 (2.03)
• Southampton +1, +1.5 (1.87)

Total
• Over 2.5 (1.97)
• Under 2.5 (1.91)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on August 30 and Southampton won 2-1.

Projected Leaders

For Chelsea, João Félix has a 29.32 percent chance to score. He averages 1.52 shots overall per sim, 0.89 shots on goal per and 0.35 goals per sim.

For Southampton, James Ward-Prowse has a 12.04 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.72 shots overall per sim, 0.42 shots on goal per and 0.13 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Under 2.5 (1.91)

Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Chelsea 1.36 to Southampton 0.54.