EPL Match Preview: Tottenham vs Burnley

Jose Mourinho will look to bounce back from his first loss as head man of Tottenham when they host Burnley this Saturday afternoon. Tottenham is coming off a 2-1 loss vs Manchester United.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Odds

Team to Win (Regular Time)

Tottenham: 1.44
Draw: 4.94
Burnley: 7.41

Spread

Tottenham -1.5: 2.26
Burnley +1.5: 1.72

Total

Over 3: 2.02
Under 3: 1.88

Key Points to Consider

Last 6: Tottenham, coming off the 2-1 road loss vs Man U, have 4 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw in their last six overall. Burnley, coming off a 4-1 home loss vs Manchester City, have 4 losses and 2 wins in their last six overall. The two wins came against Watford and West Ham.

Some Changes: Burnley went on a recent streak of back-to-back 3-0 wins before giving up 6 in their following two matches combined. Head man Sean Dyche tried some changes mid-week vs Man City, but we’ll probably see a 4-4-2 lineup this weekend.

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on Feb. 23, 2019 when Tottenham lost, 2-1..

Projected Leaders

Chris Wood has a 26 percent chance to score for Burnley. He averages 1.59 shots overall per sim, 0.76 shots on goal per and 0.30 goals per sim.

For Tottenham, Harry Kane has a 53 percent chance to score. Kane averages 3.45 shots overall per sim, 1.43 shots on goal per and 0.77 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Tottenham to win.

Not a ton of value on the spread or the total in this one. Tottenham should win, but it’s also a safe bet with not-so-great payout. We do expect Burnley to be more competitive than odds are indicating, so +1.5 is an option there too.

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