Mainz vs. Bayern Munich: Bundesliga Game Preview

Mainz clashes with Bayern Munich in what promises to be a very entertaining Bundesliga game on Saturday. Mainz is coming off a 2-2 road draw against Borussia Monchengladbach on October 6 while Bayern Munich beat SC Freiburg 3-0 at home on October 8.

Bayern Munich is in third place in the Bundesliga standings with 17 points in seven games while Mainz is in 17th place with two points in seven games.

The player to watch in this game is Harry Kane, who has eight goals and four assists in seven Bundesliga games this season. AccuScore gives Harry Kane a 70.08 percent chance to score against Mainz. He has 18 SCA and 4 GCA in seven Bundesliga games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

DafaNews Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Mainz 8.00
• Bayern Munich 1.30
• Draw 6.20

Spread
• Mainz +1.5, +2 (1.85)
• Bayern Munich -1.5, -2 (1.87)

Total
• Over 3.5, 4 (1.83)
• Under 3.5, 4 (1.91)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Bundesliga action on April 22 and Mainz won 3-1.

Projected Leaders

For Mainz, Ludovic Ajorque has a 21.9 percent chance to score. He averages 0.98 shots overall per sim, 0.63 shots on goal per and 0.25 goals per sim.

For Bayern Munich, Harry Kane has a 70.08 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.99 shots overall per sim, 1.83 shots on goal per and 1.2 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Bayern Munich 1.30

Two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Bayern Munich in this one. Average score in simulations is Bayern Munich 2.92 to Mainz 0.79.