Manchester City clashes with Liverpool in a game that could decide the Premier League champion. Manchester City leads the Premier League standings with 73 points in 30 games while Liverpool is in second place with 72 points in 30 games. Manchester City is coming off a 2-0 road win against Burnley on April 2 while Liverpool beat Watford 2-0 at home on April 2.
The player to watch in this game is Mohamed Salah, who has 20 goals and 10 assists in 28 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Jota a 40.18 percent chance to score against Manchester City. He has 117 SCA and 22 GCA in 28 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Manchester City: 2.13
• Liverpool: 3.30
• Draw: 3.65
Spread
• Manchester City: 0, -0.5 (1.93)
• Liverpool: 0, +0.5 (2.00)
Total
• Over 2.5, 3 (1.88)
• Under 2.5, 3 (2.02)
Key Points to Consider
Last 5: Manchester City, coming off a 2-0 road win against Burnley on April 2, have 3 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw in their last 5 Premier League games.
Liverpool, coming off a 2-0 home win against Watford on April 2, have 5 wins, 0 losses and 0 draws in their last 5 Premier League games.
Momentum: Liverpool has been on an upward trend — with 10 straight wins in the Premier League.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on October 3, 2021 and the game ended in a 2-2 draw.
Projected Leaders
For Manchester City, Raheem Sterling has a 24.44 percent chance to score. He averages 1.25 shots overall per sim, 0.79 shots on goal per and 0.28 goals per sim.
For Liverpool, Mohamed Salah has a 40.18 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.18 shots overall per sim, 1.29 shots on goal per and 0.51 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Manchester City
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Manchester City in this one. Average score in simulations is Manchester City 1.5 to Liverpool 1.4.
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